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Primeira Liga · Matchday 9Sunday 25 October · 20:30 · Estádio José Alvalade
Sporting CP3rd place
Full time1-2Rinvalo's pick: 2-0✕ Missed
Académico de Viseu6th place
SCP 78%X 15%ACV 7%

What does the market say?

Sporting CPDrawAcadémico de ViseuRinvalo78%15%7%
Market75%16%9%

✓ Agree · both back Sporting CP

Prediction

Predicted: 2-0
Key factors
  • Sporting CP lead by 251 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Sporting CP 1.2, Académico de Viseu -0.4.
  • Sporting CP take 2.3 points per game at home.
  • If Sporting CP score first, they win 92% of the time
  • If Académico de Viseu score first, they win 26% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals2.6 – 0.7
Over 2.565%
Both teams score47%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
178%1.27X15%6.7527%14.84
Double chance
1X93%1.07X222%4.641285%1.17
Goals
Over 2.565%1.55Under 2.535%2.82BTTS yes47%2.15BTTS no53%1.87

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
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2
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5
Rows: Sporting CP · Columns: Académico de Viseu1-2 probability 2.2% · final score

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Sporting CP – Académico de Viseu25 October 20261-2