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Primeira Liga · Matchday 19Sunday 24 January · 16:00 · Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
Estoril18th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Nacional15th place
EST 41%X 28%NAC 31%

Prediction

  • If Estoril score first, they win 69% of the time
  • If Nacional score first, they win 62% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.2
Over 2.550%
Both teams score55%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Estoril win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
141%2.47X28%3.55231%3.19
Double chance
1X69%1.46X259%1.681272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.550%2.02Under 2.550%1.98BTTS yes55%1.83BTTS no45%2.20

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Estoril · Columns: Nacional1-1 probability 13.2%

Form

Compare →
EstorilLLLLL

Head to head

Nacional – Estoril16 August 20262-0
Nacional – Estoril15 March 20260-1
Estoril – Nacional26 October 20251-1
Nacional – Estoril15 February 20252-2
Estoril – Nacional15 September 20241-0