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Primeira Liga · Matchday 19Sunday 24 January · 16:00 · Estádio de São Miguel
Santa Clara4th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Académico de Viseu6th place
SCL 49%X 28%ACV 22%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Santa Clara 0.3, Académico de Viseu -0.5.
  • Santa Clara take 2.0 points per game at home.
  • If Santa Clara score first, they win 78% of the time
  • If Académico de Viseu score first, they win 57% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 11%
Expected goals1.4 – 0.8
Over 2.539%
Both teams score44%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
149%2.02X28%3.55222%4.47
Double chance
1X78%1.29X251%1.981272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.539%2.57Under 2.561%1.64BTTS yes44%2.28BTTS no56%1.78

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
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Rows: Santa Clara · Columns: Académico de Viseu1-0 probability 13.9%

Form

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Head to head

Académico de Viseu – Santa Clara15 August 20260-1