TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Primeira Liga · Matchday 19Sunday 24 January · 16:00 · Estádio do Dragão
Porto1st place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Rio Ave16th place
POR 83%X 13%RAV 5%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Porto lead by 365 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Porto 1.4, Rio Ave -1.0.
  • Last 5 games: Porto 3.0 points per game, Rio Ave 0.8.
  • If Porto score first, they win 94% of the time
  • If Rio Ave score first, they win 23% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals2.7 – 0.5
Over 2.563%
Both teams score39%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
183%1.21X13%7.8925%21.05
Double chance
1X95%1.05X217%5.741287%1.14
Goals
Over 2.563%1.58Under 2.537%2.71BTTS yes39%2.54BTTS no61%1.65

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Porto · Columns: Rio Ave2-0 probability 14.2%

Form

Compare →
PortoWWWWW
Rio AveDLWLL

Head to head

Rio Ave – Porto15 August 20260-2
Porto – Rio Ave22 February 20261-0
Rio Ave – Porto19 September 20250-3
Rio Ave – Porto3 February 20252-2
Porto – Rio Ave24 August 20242-0
Porto – Rio Ave3 February 20240-0