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Primeira Liga · Matchday 19Sunday 24 January · 16:00 · Estádio D. Afonso Henriques
Vitória de Guimarães13th place
Rinvalo prediction0-2High confidence
Sporting CP3rd place
VSC 16%X 21%SCP 63%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Sporting CP lead by 261 rating points.
  • Sporting CP take 2.2 points per game away.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Sporting CP 1.2, Vitória de Guimarães 0.6.
  • If Vitória de Guimarães score first, they win 42% of the time
  • If Sporting CP score first, they win 83% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals0.9 – 2.1
Over 2.558%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score0-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
116%6.35X21%4.66263%1.59
Double chance
1X37%2.69X284%1.191279%1.27
Goals
Over 2.558%1.74Under 2.542%2.36BTTS yes54%1.86BTTS no46%2.16

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Vitória de Guimarães · Columns: Sporting CP0-2 probability 10.6%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Sporting CP – Vitória de Guimarães14 August 20263-2
Sporting CP – Vitória de Guimarães4 May 20265-1
Vitória de Guimarães – Sporting CP23 December 20251-4
Sporting CP – Vitória de Guimarães17 May 20252-0
Vitória de Guimarães – Sporting CP3 January 20254-4
Sporting CP – Vitória de Guimarães21 April 20243-0