TR
Picks
Primeira Liga · Matchday 19Sunday 24 January · 16:00 · Estádio Cidade de Barcelos
Gil Vicente9th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Braga7th place
GIL 31%X 30%SCB 39%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Braga lead by 63 rating points.
  • If Gil Vicente score first, they win 64% of the time
  • If Braga score first, they win 71% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 11%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.2
Over 2.541%
Both teams score48%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Braga win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
131%3.18X30%3.37239%2.57
Double chance
1X61%1.64X269%1.461270%1.42
Goals
Over 2.541%2.45Under 2.559%1.69BTTS yes48%2.09BTTS no52%1.92

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Gil Vicente · Columns: Braga1-1 probability 14.1%

Head to head

Gil Vicente – Braga14 February 20262-1
Braga – Gil Vicente14 September 20250-1
Braga – Gil Vicente9 February 20252-0
Gil Vicente – Braga1 September 20240-0
Braga – Gil Vicente16 March 20242-1
Gil Vicente – Braga28 October 20233-3