TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Primeira Liga · Matchday 27Sunday 21 March · 16:00 · Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
Estoril18th place
Rinvalo prediction0-2High confidence
Porto1st place
EST 10%X 17%POR 73%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Porto lead by 363 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Porto 3.0 points per game, Estoril 0.0.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Porto 1.4, Estoril -0.6.
  • If Estoril score first, they win 33% of the time
  • If Porto score first, they win 89% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals0.7 – 2.3
Over 2.558%
Both teams score46%
Likeliest score0-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
110%10.16X17%5.82273%1.37
Double chance
1X27%3.70X290%1.111283%1.21
Goals
Over 2.558%1.73Under 2.542%2.36BTTS yes46%2.17BTTS no54%1.86

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Estoril · Columns: Porto0-2 probability 13.1%

Form

Compare →
EstorilLLLLL
PortoWWWWW

Head to head

Porto – Estoril31 October 20264-0
Estoril – Porto12 April 20261-3
Porto – Estoril30 November 20251-0
Estoril – Porto30 March 20251-2
Porto – Estoril3 November 20244-0
Estoril – Porto30 March 20241-0