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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Primeira Liga · Matchday 27Sunday 21 March · 16:00 · Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho
Famalicão11th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Braga7th place
FAM 30%X 29%SCB 41%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Braga 0.6, Famalicão -0.4.
  • If Famalicão score first, they win 62% of the time
  • If Braga score first, they win 71% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.3
Over 2.544%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Braga win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
130%3.31X29%3.43241%2.46
Double chance
1X59%1.69X270%1.431271%1.41
Goals
Over 2.544%2.28Under 2.556%1.78BTTS yes50%2.00BTTS no50%2.00

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Famalicão · Columns: Braga1-1 probability 13.8%

Form

Compare →
BragaWDLLW

Head to head

Braga – Famalicão1 November 20263-0
Braga – Famalicão19 April 20262-2
Famalicão – Braga6 December 20251-2
Famalicão – Braga25 April 20251-1
Braga – Famalicão16 December 20243-3
Famalicão – Braga18 January 20241-2