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Primeira Liga · Matchday 27Sunday 21 March · 16:00 · Estádio do Rio Ave FC
Rio Ave16th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Low confidence
Académico de Viseu6th place
RAV 34%X 27%ACV 39%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Académico de Viseu 3.0 points per game, Rio Ave 0.8.
  • Académico de Viseu lead by 114 rating points.
  • Académico de Viseu take 2.2 points per game away.
  • If Rio Ave score first, they win 63% of the time
  • If Académico de Viseu score first, they win 68% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.4
Over 2.551%
Both teams score56%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Académico de Viseu win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
134%2.97X27%3.66239%2.56
Double chance
1X61%1.64X266%1.511273%1.38
Goals
Over 2.551%1.97Under 2.549%2.04BTTS yes56%1.79BTTS no44%2.26

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Rio Ave · Columns: Académico de Viseu1-1 probability 13.1%

Form

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Académico de Viseu – Rio Ave1 November 20262-1