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Primeira Liga · Matchday 27Sunday 21 March · 16:00 · Estádio D. Afonso Henriques
Vitória de Guimarães13th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Gil Vicente9th place
VSC 36%X 30%GIL 33%

Prediction

  • If Vitória de Guimarães score first, they win 70% of the time
  • If Gil Vicente score first, they win 67% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 12%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.1
Over 2.537%
Both teams score45%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Vitória de Guimarães win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
136%2.74X30%3.29233%3.01
Double chance
1X67%1.50X264%1.571270%1.44
Goals
Over 2.537%2.69Under 2.563%1.59BTTS yes45%2.22BTTS no55%1.82

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Vitória de Guimarães · Columns: Gil Vicente1-1 probability 14.4%

Form

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Head to head

Gil Vicente – Vitória de Guimarães2 November 20260-0
Gil Vicente – Vitória de Guimarães18 April 20260-1
Vitória de Guimarães – Gil Vicente8 December 20250-0
Gil Vicente – Vitória de Guimarães11 April 20250-1
Vitória de Guimarães – Gil Vicente2 December 20244-0
Gil Vicente – Vitória de Guimarães28 January 20241-0