TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Premier League · Matchday 32Saturday 17 April · 15:00 · Hill Dickinson Stadium
Everton14th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Bournemouth7th place
EVE 30%X 28%BOU 42%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Bournemouth lead by 81 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Bournemouth 1.8 points per game, Everton 1.0.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Bournemouth 0.5, Everton -0.2.
  • If Everton score first, they win 61% of the time
  • If Bournemouth score first, they win 71% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.4
Over 2.546%
Both teams score52%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Bournemouth win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
130%3.37X28%3.54242%2.37
Double chance
1X58%1.73X270%1.421272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.546%2.17Under 2.554%1.86BTTS yes52%1.93BTTS no48%2.07

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Everton · Columns: Bournemouth1-1 probability 13.5%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Bournemouth – Everton29 August 20261-1
Everton – Bournemouth10 February 20261-2
Bournemouth – Everton2 December 20250-1
Bournemouth – Everton4 January 20251-0
Everton – Bournemouth31 August 20242-3
Bournemouth – Everton30 March 20242-1