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Premier League · Matchday 32Saturday 17 April · 15:00 · Hill Dickinson Stadium
Everton7th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Bournemouth8th place
EVE 31%X 29%BOU 40%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Bournemouth lead by 67 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Bournemouth 0.5, Everton -0.1.
  • If Everton score first, they win 62% of the time
  • If Bournemouth score first, they win 70% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.3
Over 2.545%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Bournemouth win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
131%3.23X29%3.50240%2.47
Double chance
1X60%1.68X269%1.451271%1.40
Goals
Over 2.545%2.21Under 2.555%1.83BTTS yes51%1.95BTTS no49%2.05

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Everton · Columns: Bournemouth1-1 probability 13.7%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Bournemouth – Everton29 August 20261-1
Everton – Bournemouth10 February 20261-2
Bournemouth – Everton2 December 20250-1
Bournemouth – Everton4 January 20251-0
Everton – Bournemouth31 August 20242-3
Bournemouth – Everton30 March 20242-1