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Premier League · Matchday 32Saturday 17 April · 15:00 · Portman Road
Ipswich Town14th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2High confidence
Manchester United17th place
IPS 21%X 23%MUN 56%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Manchester United lead by 144 rating points.
  • If Ipswich Town score first, they win 47% of the time
  • If Manchester United score first, they win 78% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals1.2 – 2.1
Over 2.564%
Both teams score62%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Manchester United win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
121%4.79X23%4.29256%1.79
Double chance
1X44%2.26X279%1.261277%1.30
Goals
Over 2.564%1.57Under 2.536%2.76BTTS yes62%1.61BTTS no38%2.64

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Ipswich Town · Columns: Manchester United1-1 probability 10.1%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Manchester United – Ipswich Town30 August 20265-2
Manchester United – Ipswich Town26 February 20253-2
Ipswich Town – Manchester United24 November 20241-1