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Premier League · Matchday 32Saturday 17 April · 15:00 · Etihad Stadium
Manchester City2nd place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Crystal Palace18th place
MCI 74%X 17%CRY 9%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Manchester City lead by 260 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Manchester City 0.6, Crystal Palace -0.9.
  • Last 5 games: Manchester City 1.8 points per game, Crystal Palace 0.8.
  • If Manchester City score first, they win 89% of the time
  • If Crystal Palace score first, they win 31% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals2.5 – 0.8
Over 2.562%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
174%1.35X17%5.7829%11.52
Double chance
1X91%1.10X226%3.851283%1.21
Goals
Over 2.562%1.60Under 2.538%2.65BTTS yes49%2.04BTTS no51%1.96

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Manchester City · Columns: Crystal Palace2-0 probability 12.1%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Crystal Palace – Manchester City28 August 20261-4
Manchester City – Crystal Palace13 May 20263-0
Crystal Palace – Manchester City14 December 20250-3
Manchester City – Crystal Palace12 April 20255-2
Crystal Palace – Manchester City7 December 20242-2
Crystal Palace – Manchester City6 April 20242-4