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Premier League · Matchday 32Saturday 17 April · 15:00 · St James Park
Newcastle United12th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Low confidence
Tottenham8th place
NEW 40%X 28%TOT 32%

Prediction

  • If Newcastle United score first, they win 68% of the time
  • If Tottenham score first, they win 61% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.3
Over 2.555%
Both teams score59%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Newcastle United win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
140%2.49X28%3.57232%3.15
Double chance
1X68%1.47X260%1.671272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.555%1.82Under 2.545%2.21BTTS yes59%1.70BTTS no41%2.42

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Newcastle United · Columns: Tottenham1-1 probability 12.4%

Form

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Head to head

Tottenham – Newcastle United29 August 20260-2
Tottenham – Newcastle United10 February 20261-2
Newcastle United – Tottenham2 December 20252-2
Tottenham – Newcastle United4 January 20251-2
Newcastle United – Tottenham1 September 20242-1
Newcastle United – Tottenham13 April 20244-0