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Premier League · Matchday 32Saturday 17 April · 15:00 · City Ground
Nottingham Forest19th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Liverpool5th place
NFO 34%X 28%LIV 38%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Liverpool lead by 112 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Liverpool 1.8 points per game, Nottingham Forest 0.2.
  • If Nottingham Forest score first, they win 64% of the time
  • If Liverpool score first, they win 68% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.4
Over 2.549%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Liverpool win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
134%2.96X28%3.57238%2.62
Double chance
1X62%1.62X266%1.511272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.549%2.05Under 2.551%1.96BTTS yes54%1.84BTTS no46%2.19

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Nottingham Forest · Columns: Liverpool1-1 probability 13.3%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Liverpool – Nottingham Forest29 August 20262-2
Nottingham Forest – Liverpool22 February 20260-1
Liverpool – Nottingham Forest22 November 20250-3
Nottingham Forest – Liverpool14 January 20251-1
Liverpool – Nottingham Forest14 September 20240-1
Nottingham Forest – Liverpool2 March 20240-1