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Premier League · Matchday 10Friday 6 November · 20:00 · Hill Dickinson Stadium
Everton14th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Coventry City16th place
EVE 52%X 27%COV 21%

What's at stake

EvertonRelegation3%6%8%
Coventry CityRelegation47%59%64%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Everton lead by 67 rating points.
  • If Everton score first, they win 79% of the time
  • If Coventry City score first, they win 53% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.5 – 0.9
Over 2.543%
Both teams score47%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
152%1.91X27%3.70221%4.83
Double chance
1X79%1.26X248%2.101273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.543%2.31Under 2.557%1.77BTTS yes47%2.15BTTS no53%1.87

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Everton · Columns: Coventry City1-0 probability 13.0%

Form

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