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Premier League · Matchday 10Saturday 7 November · 12:30 · Elland Road
Leeds United12th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Tottenham9th place
LEE 40%X 29%TOT 30%

What does the market say?

Leeds UnitedDrawTottenhamRinvalo40%29%30%
Market36%28%36%

✓ Agree · both back Leeds United

Prediction

Key factors
  • The market also backs the home side (36%).
  • If Leeds United score first, they win 71% of the time
  • If Tottenham score first, they win 62% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.1
Over 2.544%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Leeds United win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
140%2.47X29%3.42230%3.29
Double chance
1X70%1.44X260%1.681271%1.41
Goals
Over 2.544%2.25Market 50%Under 2.556%1.80Market 50%BTTS yes51%1.98Market 53%BTTS no49%2.02Market 47%

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Leeds United · Columns: Tottenham1-1 probability 13.7%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Tottenham – Leeds United11 May 20261-1
Leeds United – Tottenham4 October 20251-2
Leeds United – Tottenham28 May 20231-4
Tottenham – Leeds United12 November 20224-3
Leeds United – Tottenham26 February 20220-4
Tottenham – Leeds United21 November 20212-1