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Premier League · Matchday 10Sunday 8 November · 14:00 · Portman Road
Ipswich Town13th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2High confidence
Bournemouth7th place
IPS 17%X 22%BOU 61%

What's at stake

Ipswich TownRelegation50%64%69%
BournemouthTop 431%23%19%

What does the market say?

Ipswich TownDrawBournemouthRinvalo17%22%61%
Market24%26%50%

✓ Agree · both back Bournemouth

Prediction

Key factors
  • Bournemouth lead by 194 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Bournemouth 0.5, Ipswich Town -0.4.
  • Last 5 games: Bournemouth 1.8 points per game, Ipswich Town 1.0.
  • The market also backs the away side (50%).
  • If Ipswich Town score first, they win 42% of the time
  • If Bournemouth score first, they win 81% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals1.1 – 2.2
Over 2.564%
Both teams score60%
Likeliest score1-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
117%5.86X22%4.57261%1.64
Double chance
1X39%2.57X283%1.211278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.564%1.56Market 57%Under 2.536%2.80Market 43%BTTS yes60%1.66Market 58%BTTS no40%2.52Market 42%

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Ipswich Town · Columns: Bournemouth1-2 probability 9.8%

Form

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Head to head

Bournemouth – Ipswich Town2 April 20251-2
Ipswich Town – Bournemouth8 December 20241-2