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Eredivisie · Matchday 31Sunday 2 May · 16:00 · Van Donge and De Roo Stadion
Excelsior15th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Low confidence
Cambuur9th place
EXC 43%X 26%CAM 31%

Prediction

  • If Excelsior score first, they win 68% of the time
  • If Cambuur score first, they win 57% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals1.9 – 1.6
Over 2.570%
Both teams score70%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Excelsior win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
143%2.32X26%3.83231%3.25
Double chance
1X69%1.44X257%1.761274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.570%1.44Under 2.530%3.28BTTS yes70%1.43BTTS no30%3.31

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Excelsior · Columns: Cambuur1-1 probability 9.4%

Form

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Head to head

Cambuur – Excelsior7 August 20260-4
Excelsior – Cambuur19 March 20234-1
Cambuur – Excelsior6 August 20220-2