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Eredivisie · Matchday 31Sunday 2 May · 16:00 · Stadion Feyenoord
Feyenoord1st place
Rinvalo prediction3-0High confidence
Willem II18th place
FEY 87%X 9%WIL 3%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Feyenoord lead by 405 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Feyenoord 1.6, Willem II -1.1.
  • Last 5 games: Feyenoord 2.2 points per game, Willem II 0.0.
  • If Feyenoord score first, they win 95% of the time
  • If Willem II score first, they win 15% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 1%
Expected goals3.8 – 0.8
Over 2.584%
Both teams score56%
Likeliest score3-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
187%1.15X9%10.5923%30.03
Double chance
1X97%1.03X213%7.831291%1.10
Goals
Over 2.584%1.19Under 2.516%6.13BTTS yes56%1.79BTTS no44%2.27

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Feyenoord · Columns: Willem II3-0 probability 8.9%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Willem II – Feyenoord18 January 20251-1
Feyenoord – Willem II10 August 20241-1
Feyenoord – Willem II2 April 20222-0
Willem II – Feyenoord15 August 20210-4