TR
Picks
Eredivisie · Matchday 31Sunday 2 May · 16:00 · Euroborg
Groningen8th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1High confidence
ADO Den Haag17th place
GRO 64%X 22%ADO 15%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Groningen lead by 135 rating points.
  • If Groningen score first, they win 83% of the time
  • If ADO Den Haag score first, they win 40% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals2.2 – 1.0
Over 2.563%
Both teams score57%
Likeliest score2-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
164%1.57X22%4.63215%6.85
Double chance
1X85%1.17X236%2.761278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.563%1.60Under 2.537%2.67BTTS yes57%1.75BTTS no43%2.34

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Groningen · Columns: ADO Den Haag2-1 probability 9.8%

Head to head

ADO Den Haag – Groningen16 August 20261-4