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Eredivisie · Matchday 31Sunday 2 May · 16:00 · Goffertstadion
NEC Nijmegen13th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1High confidence
PEC Zwolle14th place
NEC 60%X 23%PEC 17%

Prediction

Key factors
  • NEC Nijmegen lead by 91 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: NEC Nijmegen -0.1, PEC Zwolle -0.7.
  • If NEC Nijmegen score first, they win 81% of the time
  • If PEC Zwolle score first, they win 43% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals2.1 – 1.1
Over 2.563%
Both teams score59%
Likeliest score2-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
160%1.67X23%4.36217%5.83
Double chance
1X83%1.21X240%2.501277%1.30
Goals
Over 2.563%1.59Under 2.537%2.69BTTS yes59%1.68BTTS no41%2.47

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: NEC Nijmegen · Columns: PEC Zwolle2-1 probability 9.9%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

PEC Zwolle – NEC Nijmegen29 August 20261-3
NEC Nijmegen – PEC Zwolle24 January 20262-1
PEC Zwolle – NEC Nijmegen25 October 20252-2
PEC Zwolle – NEC Nijmegen11 January 20250-1
NEC Nijmegen – PEC Zwolle24 August 20241-0
NEC Nijmegen – PEC Zwolle14 April 20242-2