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Eredivisie · Matchday 31Sunday 2 May · 16:00 · De Adelaarshorst
Go Ahead Eagles10th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2High confidence
PSV Eindhoven3rd place
GAE 15%X 19%PSV 66%

Prediction

Key factors
  • PSV Eindhoven lead by 276 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: PSV Eindhoven 1.1, Go Ahead Eagles 0.0.
  • If Go Ahead Eagles score first, they win 36% of the time
  • If PSV Eindhoven score first, they win 82% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 2%
Expected goals1.4 – 2.9
Over 2.580%
Both teams score72%
Likeliest score1-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
115%6.46X19%5.30266%1.52
Double chance
1X34%2.91X285%1.181281%1.23
Goals
Over 2.580%1.24Under 2.520%5.09BTTS yes72%1.38BTTS no28%3.62

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Go Ahead Eagles · Columns: PSV Eindhoven1-2 probability 8.0%

Form

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Head to head

Go Ahead Eagles – PSV Eindhoven10 May 20261-4
PSV Eindhoven – Go Ahead Eagles18 October 20252-1
Go Ahead Eagles – PSV Eindhoven1 March 20253-2
PSV Eindhoven – Go Ahead Eagles1 September 20243-0
Go Ahead Eagles – PSV Eindhoven8 March 20240-1
PSV Eindhoven – Go Ahead Eagles27 September 20233-0