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Eredivisie · Matchday 33Sunday 16 May · 13:30 · Van Donge and De Roo Stadion
Excelsior15th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
ADO Den Haag17th place
EXC 48%X 26%ADO 25%

Prediction

  • If Excelsior score first, they win 74% of the time
  • If ADO Den Haag score first, they win 54% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.8 – 1.3
Over 2.558%
Both teams score60%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Excelsior win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
148%2.07X26%3.79225%3.94
Double chance
1X75%1.34X252%1.931274%1.36
Goals
Over 2.558%1.72Under 2.542%2.40BTTS yes60%1.67BTTS no40%2.50

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Excelsior · Columns: ADO Den Haag1-1 probability 11.5%

Form

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