TR
Picks
Eredivisie · Matchday 33Sunday 16 May · 13:30 · De Grolsch Veste
Twente4th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Low confidence
Feyenoord1st place
TWE 42%X 27%FEY 32%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Twente take 2.1 points per game at home.
  • If Twente score first, they win 68% of the time
  • If Feyenoord score first, they win 60% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.4
Over 2.558%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Twente win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
142%2.40X27%3.74232%3.17
Double chance
1X68%1.46X258%1.721273%1.36
Goals
Over 2.558%1.73Under 2.542%2.38BTTS yes61%1.64BTTS no39%2.57

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Twente · Columns: Feyenoord1-1 probability 11.9%
TwenteWDLWW

Head to head

Twente – Feyenoord1 March 20262-0
Feyenoord – Twente21 December 20251-1
Twente – Feyenoord16 March 20252-6
Feyenoord – Twente6 October 20242-1
Feyenoord – Twente28 January 20240-0
Twente – Feyenoord29 October 20232-1