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Eredivisie · Matchday 33Sunday 16 May · 13:30 · Fortuna Sittard Stadion
Fortuna Sittard6th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1High confidence
Willem II18th place
FOR 62%X 23%WIL 16%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Fortuna Sittard lead by 208 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Fortuna Sittard 1.8 points per game, Willem II 0.0.
  • If Fortuna Sittard score first, they win 82% of the time
  • If Willem II score first, they win 41% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals2.2 – 1.1
Over 2.564%
Both teams score59%
Likeliest score2-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
162%1.62X23%4.44216%6.41
Double chance
1X84%1.19X238%2.621277%1.29
Goals
Over 2.564%1.56Under 2.536%2.78BTTS yes59%1.68BTTS no41%2.46

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Fortuna Sittard · Columns: Willem II2-1 probability 9.8%

Form

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Head to head

Willem II – Fortuna Sittard19 September 20260-1
Fortuna Sittard – Willem II27 April 20251-0
Willem II – Fortuna Sittard20 October 20240-0
Fortuna Sittard – Willem II13 March 20221-0
Willem II – Fortuna Sittard22 October 20211-1