TR
Picks
Eredivisie · Matchday 33Sunday 16 May · 13:30 · Euroborg
Groningen8th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1High confidence
Cambuur9th place
GRO 59%X 23%CAM 18%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Groningen lead by 104 rating points.
  • If Groningen score first, they win 79% of the time
  • If Cambuur score first, they win 43% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals2.4 – 1.3
Over 2.571%
Both teams score67%
Likeliest score2-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
159%1.69X23%4.37218%5.53
Double chance
1X82%1.22X241%2.441277%1.30
Goals
Over 2.571%1.40Under 2.529%3.51BTTS yes67%1.49BTTS no33%3.04

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Groningen · Columns: Cambuur2-1 probability 9.2%

Head to head

Groningen – Cambuur26 January 20230-1
Cambuur – Groningen11 September 20220-1
Groningen – Cambuur15 May 20222-3
Cambuur – Groningen15 August 20211-2