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Eredivisie · Matchday 33Sunday 16 May · 13:30 · Stadion Galgenwaard
Utrecht12th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Telstar16th place
UTR 53%X 25%TEL 23%

Prediction

  • If Utrecht score first, they win 76% of the time
  • If Telstar score first, they win 50% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals2.0 – 1.3
Over 2.563%
Both teams score62%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Utrecht win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
153%1.90X25%4.05223%4.41
Double chance
1X77%1.29X247%2.111275%1.33
Goals
Over 2.563%1.60Under 2.537%2.68BTTS yes62%1.60BTTS no38%2.66

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Utrecht · Columns: Telstar1-1 probability 10.5%

Form

Compare →
UtrechtLWWDL
TelstarLDLLW

Head to head

Telstar – Utrecht1 November 20264-2
Utrecht – Telstar11 April 20264-1
Telstar – Utrecht23 November 20251-1