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Eredivisie · Matchday 33Sunday 16 May · 13:30 · De Adelaarshorst
Go Ahead Eagles10th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Low confidence
Heerenveen7th place
GAE 36%X 27%HEE 38%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Heerenveen lead by 99 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Heerenveen 2.4 points per game, Go Ahead Eagles 1.0.
  • If Go Ahead Eagles score first, they win 63% of the time
  • If Heerenveen score first, they win 65% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.6
Over 2.561%
Both teams score63%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Heerenveen win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
136%2.82X27%3.76238%2.64
Double chance
1X62%1.61X265%1.551273%1.36
Goals
Over 2.561%1.65Under 2.539%2.54BTTS yes63%1.58BTTS no37%2.73

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Go Ahead Eagles · Columns: Heerenveen1-1 probability 11.4%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Go Ahead Eagles – Heerenveen11 February 20261-3
Heerenveen – Go Ahead Eagles30 August 20252-2
Go Ahead Eagles – Heerenveen14 May 20251-0
Heerenveen – Go Ahead Eagles10 November 20241-0
Heerenveen – Go Ahead Eagles17 February 20240-2
Go Ahead Eagles – Heerenveen2 September 20233-2