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Eredivisie · Matchday 8Sunday 11 October · 15:45 · Van Donge and De Roo Stadion
Excelsior15th place
Full time1-5Prediction wrong
Groningen8th place
EXC 36%X 28%GRO 36%

What does the market say?

ExcelsiorDrawGroningenRinvalo36%28%36%
Market37%26%37%

⚠ Split · Rinvalo Excelsior 36%, market Groningen 37%

Prediction

Predicted: 2-1
  • If Excelsior score first, they win 65% of the time
  • If Groningen score first, they win 65% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.4
Over 2.553%
Both teams score57%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Excelsior win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
136%2.76X28%3.57236%2.80
Double chance
1X64%1.56X264%1.571272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.553%1.90Under 2.547%2.11BTTS yes57%1.75BTTS no43%2.34

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Excelsior · Columns: Groningen1-5 probability 0.4% · final score

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Excelsior – Groningen11 October 20261-5
Groningen – Excelsior2 May 20262-3
Excelsior – Groningen5 December 20250-2
Groningen – Excelsior25 February 20233-0
Excelsior – Groningen8 January 20231-0