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Eredivisie · Matchday 8Sunday 11 October · 13:30 · MAC³PARK Stadion
PEC Zwolle14th place
Full time0-1Rinvalo's pick: 2-1✕ Missed
Cambuur9th place
PEC 49%X 26%CAM 25%

What does the market say?

PEC ZwolleDrawCambuurRinvalo49%26%25%
Market48%24%27%

✓ Agree · both back PEC Zwolle

Prediction

Predicted: 2-1
Key factors
  • PEC Zwolle lead by 62 rating points.
  • If PEC Zwolle score first, they win 73% of the time
  • If Cambuur score first, they win 52% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals2.0 – 1.4
Over 2.568%
Both teams score67%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a PEC Zwolle win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
149%2.03X26%3.88225%3.99
Double chance
1X75%1.33X251%1.971274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.568%1.48Under 2.532%3.09BTTS yes67%1.49BTTS no33%3.05

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: PEC Zwolle · Columns: Cambuur0-1 probability 3.8% · final score

Form

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Head to head

PEC Zwolle – Cambuur11 October 20260-1
Cambuur – PEC Zwolle12 February 20223-4
PEC Zwolle – Cambuur6 November 20211-2