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Eredivisie · Matchday 8Saturday 10 October · 17:45 · Stadion Feyenoord
Feyenoord1st place
Full time2-0Rinvalo's pick: 2-1✓ Result correct
AZ Alkmaar5th place
FEY 52%X 25%AZ 23%

What does the market say?

FeyenoordDrawAZ AlkmaarRinvalo52%25%23%
Market52%24%25%

✓ Agree · both back Feyenoord

Prediction

Predicted: 2-1
Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Feyenoord 1.8, AZ Alkmaar 1.0.
  • Feyenoord take 2.1 points per game at home.
  • If Feyenoord score first, they win 76% of the time
  • If AZ Alkmaar score first, they win 50% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.9 – 1.2
Over 2.560%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Feyenoord win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
152%1.92X25%3.95223%4.42
Double chance
1X77%1.29X248%2.091275%1.34
Goals
Over 2.560%1.66Under 2.540%2.53BTTS yes61%1.65BTTS no39%2.54

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Feyenoord · Columns: AZ Alkmaar2-0 probability 8.0% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Feyenoord – AZ Alkmaar10 October 20262-0
Feyenoord – AZ Alkmaar10 May 20261-1
AZ Alkmaar – Feyenoord21 September 20253-3
AZ Alkmaar – Feyenoord5 April 20250-1
Feyenoord – AZ Alkmaar2 November 20243-2
AZ Alkmaar – Feyenoord4 February 20240-1