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Eredivisie · Matchday 8Sunday 11 October · 13:30 · 711 Stadion
Telstar16th place
Full time2-2Rinvalo's pick: 2-1✕ Missed
ADO Den Haag17th place
TEL 53%X 26%ADO 21%

What does the market say?

TelstarDrawADO Den HaagRinvalo53%26%21%
Market46%25%29%

✓ Agree · both back Telstar

Prediction

Predicted: 2-1
Key factors
  • Telstar lead by 65 rating points.
  • If Telstar score first, they win 78% of the time
  • If ADO Den Haag score first, they win 51% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.8 – 1.1
Over 2.554%
Both teams score55%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Telstar win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
153%1.89X26%3.91221%4.66
Double chance
1X79%1.27X247%2.131274%1.34
Goals
Over 2.554%1.86Under 2.546%2.17BTTS yes55%1.82BTTS no45%2.22

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Telstar · Columns: ADO Den Haag2-2 probability 5.2% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Telstar – ADO Den Haag11 October 20262-2