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Eredivisie · Matchday 8Saturday 10 October · 19:00 · Fortuna Sittard Stadion
Fortuna Sittard6th place
Full time1-1Rinvalo's pick: 0-2✕ Missed
Twente4th place
FOR 14%X 21%TWE 65%

What does the market say?

Fortuna SittardDrawTwenteRinvalo14%21%65%
Market15%19%66%

✓ Agree · both back Twente

Prediction

Predicted: 0-2
Key factors
  • Twente lead by 162 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Twente 1.3, Fortuna Sittard -1.1.
  • Last 5 games: Twente 2.6 points per game, Fortuna Sittard 1.8.
  • If Fortuna Sittard score first, they win 40% of the time
  • If Twente score first, they win 84% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals0.9 – 2.1
Over 2.558%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score0-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
114%6.93X21%4.87265%1.54
Double chance
1X35%2.86X286%1.171279%1.26
Goals
Over 2.558%1.72Under 2.542%2.40BTTS yes53%1.89BTTS no47%2.13

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Fortuna Sittard · Columns: Twente1-1 probability 9.9% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Fortuna Sittard – Twente10 October 20261-1
Fortuna Sittard – Twente21 March 20261-2
Twente – Fortuna Sittard26 September 20253-2
Twente – Fortuna Sittard5 April 20251-1
Fortuna Sittard – Twente23 November 20241-2
Twente – Fortuna Sittard6 April 20242-0