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Eredivisie · Matchday 13Saturday 21 November · 17:45 · Stadion Feyenoord
Feyenoord1st place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Excelsior15th place
FEY 80%X 14%EXC 6%

What does the market say?

FeyenoordDrawExcelsiorRinvalo80%14%6%
Market84%10%6%

✓ Agree · both back Feyenoord

Prediction

Key factors
  • Feyenoord lead by 257 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Feyenoord 1.6, Excelsior -1.1.
  • Last 5 games: Feyenoord 2.2 points per game, Excelsior 0.2.
  • The market also backs the home side (84%).
  • If Feyenoord score first, they win 92% of the time
  • If Excelsior score first, they win 24% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals3.0 – 0.8
Over 2.574%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
180%1.25X14%7.1826%15.72
Double chance
1X94%1.07X220%4.931286%1.16
Goals
Over 2.574%1.36Market 77%Under 2.526%3.78Market 23%BTTS yes54%1.84Market 52%BTTS no46%2.19Market 48%

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
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5
Rows: Feyenoord · Columns: Excelsior2-0 probability 9.7%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Feyenoord – Excelsior15 March 20262-1
Excelsior – Feyenoord16 August 20251-2
Feyenoord – Excelsior19 May 20244-0
Excelsior – Feyenoord25 November 20232-4
Excelsior – Feyenoord7 May 20230-2
Feyenoord – Excelsior13 November 20225-1