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Eredivisie · Matchday 13Saturday 21 November · 20:00 · Euroborg
Groningen8th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Heerenveen7th place
GRO 42%X 27%HEE 31%

What does the market say?

GroningenDrawHeerenveenRinvalo42%27%31%
Market43%25%32%

✓ Agree · both back Groningen

Prediction

Key factors
  • The market also backs the home side (43%).
  • If Groningen score first, they win 69% of the time
  • If Heerenveen score first, they win 59% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.4
Over 2.558%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Groningen win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
142%2.37X27%3.77231%3.20
Double chance
1X69%1.46X258%1.731273%1.36
Goals
Over 2.558%1.72Under 2.542%2.38BTTS yes61%1.64BTTS no39%2.57

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Groningen · Columns: Heerenveen1-1 probability 11.8%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Heerenveen – Groningen18 January 20260-2
Groningen – Heerenveen16 August 20252-1
Groningen – Heerenveen25 January 20251-0
Heerenveen – Groningen22 September 20242-1
Groningen – Heerenveen19 March 20230-2
Heerenveen – Groningen22 January 20233-1