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Eredivisie · Matchday 13Sunday 22 November · 15:45 · De Adelaarshorst
Go Ahead Eagles10th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Fortuna Sittard6th place
GAE 51%X 25%FOR 24%

What does the market say?

Go Ahead EaglesDrawFortuna SittardRinvalo51%25%24%
Market55%23%23%

✓ Agree · both back Go Ahead Eagles

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Go Ahead Eagles 0.0, Fortuna Sittard -1.3.
  • The market also backs the home side (55%).
  • If Go Ahead Eagles score first, they win 75% of the time
  • If Fortuna Sittard score first, they win 51% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.9 – 1.3
Over 2.561%
Both teams score62%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Go Ahead Eagles win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
151%1.96X25%3.97224%4.21
Double chance
1X76%1.31X249%2.041275%1.34
Goals
Over 2.561%1.63Under 2.539%2.58BTTS yes62%1.62BTTS no38%2.61

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Go Ahead Eagles · Columns: Fortuna Sittard1-1 probability 10.8%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Go Ahead Eagles – Fortuna Sittard11 January 20262-2
Fortuna Sittard – Go Ahead Eagles8 August 20252-2
Fortuna Sittard – Go Ahead Eagles10 January 20250-3
Go Ahead Eagles – Fortuna Sittard11 August 20240-2
Fortuna Sittard – Go Ahead Eagles3 May 20240-0
Go Ahead Eagles – Fortuna Sittard22 September 20233-0