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Eredivisie · Matchday 13Saturday 21 November · 20:00 · 711 Stadion
Telstar16th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
PEC Zwolle14th place
TEL 49%X 26%PEC 25%

What does the market say?

TelstarDrawPEC ZwolleRinvalo49%26%25%
Market47%25%28%

✓ Agree · both back Telstar

Prediction

Key factors
  • The market also backs the home side (47%).
  • If Telstar score first, they win 74% of the time
  • If PEC Zwolle score first, they win 53% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.8 – 1.3
Over 2.559%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Telstar win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
149%2.06X26%3.84225%3.94
Double chance
1X75%1.34X251%1.951274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.559%1.69Under 2.541%2.44BTTS yes61%1.65BTTS no39%2.54

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Telstar · Columns: PEC Zwolle1-1 probability 11.4%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

PEC Zwolle – Telstar31 January 20264-1
Telstar – PEC Zwolle15 August 20250-2