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Eredivisie · Matchday 13Sunday 22 November · 11:15 · De Grolsch Veste
Twente4th place
Rinvalo prediction3-0High confidence
Willem II18th place
TWE 87%X 9%WIL 3%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Twente lead by 373 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Twente 1.6, Willem II -1.1.
  • Last 5 games: Twente 2.0 points per game, Willem II 0.0.
  • If Twente score first, they win 95% of the time
  • If Willem II score first, they win 16% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 2%
Expected goals3.5 – 0.7
Over 2.579%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score3-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
187%1.15X9%10.5423%29.59
Double chance
1X97%1.03X213%7.771291%1.10
Goals
Over 2.579%1.27Under 2.521%4.66BTTS yes49%2.04BTTS no51%1.97

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Twente · Columns: Willem II3-0 probability 10.8%

Form

Compare →
TwenteWDLWW

Head to head

Twente – Willem II12 January 20256-2
Willem II – Twente2 November 20240-1
Willem II – Twente22 January 20220-1
Twente – Willem II17 October 20211-1