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Eredivisie · Matchday 13Saturday 21 November · 17:45 · Stadion Galgenwaard
Utrecht12th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1High confidence
Cambuur9th place
UTR 56%X 24%CAM 20%

What does the market say?

UtrechtDrawCambuurRinvalo56%24%20%
Market53%23%24%

✓ Agree · both back Utrecht

Prediction

Key factors
  • Utrecht lead by 86 rating points.
  • The market also backs the home side (53%).
  • If Utrecht score first, they win 77% of the time
  • If Cambuur score first, they win 46% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals2.3 – 1.4
Over 2.572%
Both teams score69%
Likeliest score2-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
156%1.80X24%4.18220%4.92
Double chance
1X80%1.26X244%2.261276%1.31
Goals
Over 2.572%1.39Under 2.528%3.55BTTS yes69%1.46BTTS no31%3.19

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Utrecht · Columns: Cambuur2-1 probability 9.1%

Form

Compare →
UtrechtLWWDL
CambuurDWDWW

Head to head

Cambuur – Utrecht6 May 20230-3
Utrecht – Cambuur13 August 20220-0
Utrecht – Cambuur5 February 20223-2
Cambuur – Utrecht21 November 20212-1