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Eredivisie · Matchday 23Sunday 21 February · 16:00 · Stadion Feyenoord
Feyenoord1st place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Telstar16th place
FEY 77%X 15%TEL 8%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Feyenoord lead by 232 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Feyenoord 1.6, Telstar -0.7.
  • Last 5 games: Feyenoord 2.2 points per game, Telstar 0.8.
  • If Feyenoord score first, they win 90% of the time
  • If Telstar score first, they win 27% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals2.8 – 0.8
Over 2.570%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
177%1.30X15%6.5128%13.14
Double chance
1X92%1.08X223%4.351285%1.18
Goals
Over 2.570%1.44Under 2.530%3.30BTTS yes53%1.88BTTS no47%2.14

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Feyenoord · Columns: Telstar2-0 probability 10.5%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Telstar – Feyenoord17 October 20263-4
Feyenoord – Telstar22 February 20262-1
Telstar – Feyenoord30 November 20251-2