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Eredivisie · Matchday 23Sunday 21 February · 16:00 · Philips Stadion
PSV Eindhoven3rd place
Rinvalo prediction3-1High confidence
Cambuur9th place
PSV 81%X 13%CAM 6%

Prediction

Key factors
  • PSV Eindhoven lead by 310 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: PSV Eindhoven 1.1, Cambuur -0.1.
  • PSV Eindhoven take 2.3 points per game at home.
  • If PSV Eindhoven score first, they win 91% of the time
  • If Cambuur score first, they win 21% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 1%
Expected goals3.8 – 1.3
Over 2.588%
Both teams score70%
Likeliest score3-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
181%1.24X13%7.6026%16.86
Double chance
1X94%1.06X219%5.241287%1.15
Goals
Over 2.588%1.14Under 2.512%8.34BTTS yes70%1.42BTTS no30%3.36

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: PSV Eindhoven · Columns: Cambuur3-1 probability 7.3%

Form

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Head to head

PSV Eindhoven – Cambuur12 March 20235-2
Cambuur – PSV Eindhoven1 October 20223-0
Cambuur – PSV Eindhoven23 April 20221-2
PSV Eindhoven – Cambuur21 August 20214-1