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Eredivisie · Matchday 23Sunday 21 February · 16:00 · MAC³PARK Stadion
PEC Zwolle14th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Medium confidence
Groningen8th place
PEC 27%X 25%GRO 48%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Groningen lead by 95 rating points.
  • If PEC Zwolle score first, they win 54% of the time
  • If Groningen score first, they win 72% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.8
Over 2.560%
Both teams score62%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Groningen win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
127%3.72X25%3.92248%2.10
Double chance
1X52%1.91X273%1.371275%1.34
Goals
Over 2.560%1.66Under 2.540%2.52BTTS yes62%1.61BTTS no38%2.63

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: PEC Zwolle · Columns: Groningen1-1 probability 11.2%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Groningen – PEC Zwolle18 September 20263-0
PEC Zwolle – Groningen13 March 20261-1
Groningen – PEC Zwolle23 November 20252-2
PEC Zwolle – Groningen18 May 20252-0
Groningen – PEC Zwolle8 December 20240-0
PEC Zwolle – Groningen20 February 20221-1