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Eredivisie · Matchday 23Sunday 21 February · 16:00 · Stadion Galgenwaard
Utrecht12th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1High confidence
ADO Den Haag17th place
UTR 61%X 23%ADO 16%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Utrecht lead by 118 rating points.
  • If Utrecht score first, they win 82% of the time
  • If ADO Den Haag score first, they win 42% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals2.1 – 1.0
Over 2.562%
Both teams score58%
Likeliest score2-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
161%1.64X23%4.40216%6.21
Double chance
1X84%1.19X239%2.571277%1.29
Goals
Over 2.562%1.62Under 2.538%2.62BTTS yes58%1.72BTTS no42%2.38

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Utrecht · Columns: ADO Den Haag2-1 probability 9.9%

Form

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