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Serie A · Matchday 35Sunday 9 May · 17:30 · Stadio Benito Stirpe
Frosinone6th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Low confidence
Atalanta13th place
FRO 35%X 26%ATA 39%

Prediction

  • If Frosinone score first, they win 61% of the time
  • If Atalanta score first, they win 65% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.7
Over 2.565%
Both teams score67%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Atalanta win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
135%2.87X26%3.87239%2.55
Double chance
1X61%1.65X265%1.541274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.565%1.53Under 2.535%2.90BTTS yes67%1.49BTTS no33%3.03

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Frosinone · Columns: Atalanta1-1 probability 10.4%

Form

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Head to head

Atalanta – Frosinone25 October 20264-4
Atalanta – Frosinone15 January 20245-0
Frosinone – Atalanta26 August 20232-1