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Serie A · Matchday 35Sunday 9 May · 17:30 · Stadio Luigi Ferraris
Genoa11th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Cagliari12th place
GEN 43%X 29%CAG 28%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Genoa 2.4 points per game, Cagliari 0.2.
  • If Genoa score first, they win 73% of the time
  • If Cagliari score first, they win 61% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 11%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.0
Over 2.541%
Both teams score47%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Genoa win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
143%2.34X29%3.42228%3.58
Double chance
1X72%1.39X257%1.751271%1.41
Goals
Over 2.541%2.45Under 2.559%1.69BTTS yes47%2.12BTTS no53%1.89

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Genoa · Columns: Cagliari1-1 probability 13.9%

Form

Compare →
GenoaWLWWW

Head to head

Genoa – Cagliari12 January 20263-0
Cagliari – Genoa22 November 20253-3
Cagliari – Genoa7 March 20251-1
Genoa – Cagliari24 November 20242-2
Genoa – Cagliari29 April 20243-0
Cagliari – Genoa5 November 20232-1