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Serie A · Matchday 35Sunday 9 May · 17:30 · Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Inter2nd place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Lecce14th place
INT 81%X 14%LEC 6%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Inter lead by 314 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Inter 1.6, Lecce -0.6.
  • Last 5 games: Inter 2.4 points per game, Lecce 0.6.
  • If Inter score first, they win 93% of the time
  • If Lecce score first, they win 24% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals2.7 – 0.6
Over 2.565%
Both teams score44%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
181%1.24X14%7.3326%17.73
Double chance
1X94%1.06X219%5.191286%1.16
Goals
Over 2.565%1.54Under 2.535%2.85BTTS yes44%2.28BTTS no56%1.78

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Inter · Columns: Lecce2-0 probability 13.0%

Form

Compare →
InterWWWWL
LecceLWLLL

Head to head

Lecce – Inter21 February 20260-2
Inter – Lecce14 January 20261-0
Lecce – Inter26 January 20250-4
Inter – Lecce24 August 20242-0
Lecce – Inter25 February 20240-4
Inter – Lecce23 December 20232-0