TR
Picks
Serie A · Matchday 35Sunday 9 May · 17:30 · Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Torino10th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Bologna9th place
TOR 31%X 28%BOL 41%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Bologna lead by 70 rating points.
  • Bologna take 2.1 points per game away.
  • If Torino score first, they win 62% of the time
  • If Bologna score first, they win 70% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.4
Over 2.548%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Bologna win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
131%3.26X28%3.55241%2.43
Double chance
1X59%1.70X269%1.441272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.548%2.09Under 2.552%1.91BTTS yes53%1.88BTTS no47%2.13

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Torino · Columns: Bologna1-1 probability 13.4%
TorinoWWWLL
BolognaWLWWW

Head to head

Bologna – Torino19 September 20261-1
Torino – Bologna15 February 20261-2
Bologna – Torino29 October 20250-0
Bologna – Torino14 February 20253-2
Torino – Bologna21 December 20240-2
Torino – Bologna3 May 20240-0