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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Serie A · Matchday 35Sunday 9 May · 17:30 · Stadio Olimpico
Lazio1st place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Sassuolo15th place
LAZ 63%X 23%SAS 15%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Lazio lead by 193 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Lazio 3.0 points per game, Sassuolo 0.2.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Lazio 0.5, Sassuolo -0.3.
  • If Lazio score first, they win 84% of the time
  • If Sassuolo score first, they win 42% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.0 – 0.9
Over 2.555%
Both teams score52%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
163%1.60X23%4.39215%6.83
Double chance
1X85%1.17X237%2.671277%1.30
Goals
Over 2.555%1.80Under 2.545%2.24BTTS yes52%1.93BTTS no48%2.07

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Lazio · Columns: Sassuolo2-0 probability 11.1%

Form

Compare →
LazioWWWWW

Head to head

Sassuolo – Lazio27 October 20262-6
Lazio – Sassuolo9 March 20262-1
Sassuolo – Lazio14 September 20251-0
Lazio – Sassuolo26 May 20241-1
Sassuolo – Lazio21 October 20230-2
Lazio – Sassuolo3 May 20232-0