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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Serie A · Matchday 35Sunday 9 May · 17:30 · Stadio Pierluigi Penzo
Venezia20th place
Rinvalo prediction0-2High confidence
Como4th place
VEN 12%X 19%COM 69%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Como lead by 329 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Como 2.6 points per game, Venezia 0.6.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Como 0.6, Venezia -0.6.
  • If Venezia score first, they win 38% of the time
  • If Como score first, they win 88% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals0.7 – 2.0
Over 2.550%
Both teams score43%
Likeliest score0-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
112%8.38X19%5.31269%1.44
Double chance
1X31%3.25X288%1.141281%1.23
Goals
Over 2.550%1.99Under 2.550%2.01BTTS yes43%2.33BTTS no57%1.75

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Venezia · Columns: Como0-2 probability 13.9%

Form

Compare →
VeneziaLWLLL
ComoDWWWW

Head to head

Como – Venezia1 November 20261-0
Como – Venezia8 March 20251-1
Venezia – Como8 December 20242-2